Aggressive Versus Non-aggressive Goal-directed Fluid Resuscitation in Acute Pancreatitis
Summary
WATERFALL is an investigator-initiated international multicenter open-label randomized clinical trial comparing aggressive versus moderate fluid resuscitation in acute pancreatitis. The main outcome variable will be the proportion of patients with moderate-to-severe AP. Aggressive fluid resuscitation will consist in Lactated Ringer Solution (LR) 20 ml/kg bolus (administered over 2 hours) followed by LR 3 ml/kg/h and moderate a LR bolus 10 ml/kg in case of hypovolemia or no bolus in patients with normal volemia, followed by LR 1.5 ml/kg/h. The patients will be assessed at 3 (±1), 12 (±4), 24 (±4), 48 (±4) and 72 (±4) hours from recruitment, and fluid resuscitation will be adjusted to the patient´s clinical and analytical status according to a protocol. Subgroup analysis will include patients with systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) at admission, with persistent (\>48h) SIRS and with hypovolemia at admission. Based on available data (Sternby et al, Ann Surg 2019) we expect a 35% incidence of moderate to severe AP in the moderate arm. Sample sizes of 372 per arm of treatment (744 patients) achieve 80% power to detect a difference of 10% between the treatment arms at a significance level (alpha) of 0.05 using a two-sided z-testNA, assuming a 10% dropout. These results assume that 3 sequential tests are made using the O'Brien-Fleming spending function to determine the test boundaries. All analyses will be performed on an intention-to-treat basis. The trial could be stop early for efficacy (primary end-point) if the observed two-sided P value is \<0.0002 at the first interim analysis (after 1/3 of patients have been enrolled) or is \<0.012 at second interim analysis (after 2/3 of patients have been enrolled), favoring aggressive fluid resuscitation. At final analysis, the hypothesis that the incidence of moderate-to-severe pancreatitis is similar in the two treatment arms will be rejected if p\<0.046
Timeline
- Start
- 2020-05-28
- Primary completion
- 2021-09-25
- Completion
- 2021-09-25
Outcome
Missed primary endpoint
Stopped: “Increased frequency of fluid overload on the aggressive fluid resuscitation arm of treatment”
paper 22.1% in the aggressive-resuscitation group and 17.3% in the moderate-resuscitation group; adjusted relative risk, 1.30; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.78 to 2.18; P = 0.32 PMID 36103415 ↗
Publications
- Background Banks PA, Bollen TL, Dervenis C, Gooszen HG, Johnson CD, Sarr MG, Tsiotos GG, Vege SS; Acute Pancreatitis Classification Working Group. Classification of acute pancreatitis--2012: revision of the Atlanta classification and definitions by international consensus. Gut. 2013 Jan;62(1):102-11. doi: 10.1136/gutjnl-2012-302779. Epub 2012 Oct 25.
- de-Madaria E, Buxbaum JL, Maisonneuve P, Garcia Garcia de Paredes A, Zapater P, Guilabert L, Vaillo-Rocamora A, Rodriguez-Gandia MA, Donate-Ortega J, Lozada-Hernandez EE, Collazo Moreno AJR, Lira-Aguilar A, Llovet LP, Mehta R, Tandel R, Navarro P, Sanchez-Pardo AM, Sanchez-Marin C, Cobreros M, Fernandez-Cabrera I, Casals-Seoane F, Casas Deza D, Lauret-Brana E, Marti-Marques E, Camacho-Montano LM, Ubieto V, Ganuza M, Bolado F; ERICA Consortium. Aggressive or Moderate Fluid Resuscitation in Acute Pancreatitis. N Engl J Med. 2022 Sep 15;387(11):989-1000. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa2202884.
Drugs
| Evaluation | Drug | Modality | Dose | Route |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subject | Lactated Ringer Solution | Unknown | 1.5 unknown | Other |
| Subject | Lactated Ringer Solution | Unknown | 3 unknown | Other |